Bird on a Wire

Originally Published In:

Fairfield County Weekly (9/25/08) Link

Last week, our politicians and bureaucrats banned short selling, bailed out an insurance company, allowed two securities firms to magically transform into banks, and announced plans to buy unlimited troubled assets from still solvent financial firms.

By letting loads of bad assets be dumped or written off, the government argues, our financial system might collapse! The safety and security of our entire monetary system will fail!

What's the last bank or corporation that failed—small or large, financial or manufacturing, or any other type—and then actually caused the entire free market to shut down?

If this plan is in our best interests, why not give us a choice? Why don't the feds start a new, large, private fund that would serve the same purpose as this bail-out package? Market it. Raise the capital. Let people invest. They can even collect a management fee and an incentive fee.

Ah, but that won't fly. People are too "jittery." Investors are "irrational." Thank God for government, that beacon of calm rationality.

The free market cannot fail; it is a collection of voluntary exchanges, and each one makes each participant better off. But government intervention cannot succeed; it is a collection of forced transfers to take from the many and give to the few, and just about everybody becomes worse off.

Speculators are a sturdy lot. They can withstand immense government regulation. Markets succeed even in places like Russia and China not because of government, but despite it.

Markets are a lot like passenger pigeons. Now extinct, passenger pigeons were so numerous back when we adopted the Constitution 221 years ago this week, that when they flew, the sky would be black for hours.

By 1900, all the wild ones were dead. They died the same way our government is killing off our free market: by offering seemingly free food with just one small string attached.

Hunters would capture a wild pigeon, sew its eyelids shut, tether it to the ground with a three yard rope, and sprinkle alcohol-laced grain and corn around it. The poor blinded bird could fly up a little when it heard others pass by, just enough to get their attention and leading the other birds into the trap. The hunters would cast wide nets over the whole flock, with only their little pigeon heads sticking out, which the hunters would then pinch or bite to death. The carcasses were sold as meat for servants and slaves at a penny a bird.Martha, the last passenger pigeon

Regulations tether otherwise independent companies to the government till. The Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve sprinkle intoxicating cheap funding at their feet. In 2004, the SEC allowed Lehman, Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley (five securities firms that blew up, were bought out, or were redefined by the SEC as "banks" last week) to jack up their debt-to-net-capital ratios. And the poor birds struggled mightily to share with their friends, blind to the fact that they were bringing about their deaths.

The last passenger pigeon bred in captivity was named Martha, after George Washington's wife. In 1913, the Federal Reserve was created. Within a year, Martha was dead.

This market crisis was a result of too much government and too much regulation. Our financial "system" of over-regulation collapsed. And what will rise from its ashes? Less of the failed pre-emptive regulation, replaced instead by a fairer system of ex post justice to punish those who defraud and remunerate those who suffer?

Nah, let's just throw a bunch more regulations their way, bail out the rich, soak the poor, and call it a day.

The government claims their intervention will stabilize the financial markets. I predict it will backfire. Specifically, we should expect more collapses, not just in financial firms, but in automobiles or manufacturing or even global technology conglomerates headquartered in our county.

I also predict this: They'll just print more money, tax more citizens, and claim they are saving us from ourselves. Again.

   The media "truth" that

   The media "truth" that the current situation is a result of too little regulation is laughable.  Housing and banking are the two most regulated sectors fo the economy.  That being said, the government is in this knee deep, and they will have to take action to get us out, even if it is just the reversal of previous actions.

   Full transparency is a free market regulation that remains overdue. Efforts seems to have been blocked because transparency makes all money transfers, and consequentially donations very traceable.

   If 700 billion were to replace 700 billion in other federal spending, I would support it in a second.  Also, I would buy this debt as a long term investment for myself.  The feds could privatize this effort by offering it to private investors.  I'm not sure we could take down the whole sum, but I do believe what we did take would shock the world.  I'll bet Buffett alone would be in for at least another 30 billion.  There is definitely blood in the streets.

We're all winners = we're all losers

So we're going to use taxes to support businesses which were foolish or unsuccessful?  All the unsuccessful businesses will be in the red, so they won't be paying taxes.  But all the businesses in the black will pay taxes this year.  Make life harder for the successful to support the unsuccessful.  And why?  Because people are going to lose their jobs, say the pols.

 

Except that all the un-"Blow'd Up" companies are now grabbing market share as a reward for their prudence.  To handle that market share they'll need (drumroll)... more employees.  Except we're taxing them -- so that will reduce the increase in hiring.

 

If I were the head of Citigroup right now, I'd tell my prop traders to take on the most risk they've ever had.  Heads I'd win, tails the U.S. of A. Gummint picks up the tab.   So taxpayers are short a put to every rogue trader at a big bank; and, we collected no premium for this position.  Outstanding!  We suck.

Assume that 700 billion now

Assume that 700 billion now saves the economy 3 Trillion dollars.  Bear with me.  Nobody is sure this is going to work, but our economy is teetering.  So, if a government plan to reverse previously disasterous government policy is effective, why not try it.  Was emancipation a big government solution to a problem or was it an example of opening up/increasing US productivity resources.  Obviously, I am writing theoretically.  The plan that was put into place has a ton of problems.  Still, if we could convince politicians to abide by a temporary corruption ban, it just might....

   Cup half full!

If that is the case...

Then people should be willing to do it voluntarily. Lots of people would like to invest $700 to earn $3,000.

And if the people don't want to do it....

... don't force them.

If they offered it, I think

If they offered it, I think it would get funded.  Food for though.

 I hate mandates.